Listen, it's Friday, and I've got a whole lot of picks coming your way for both tonight and the entire weekend. Believe me, this newsletter is so long that I can guarantee you I'm going to get an email or a direct me sage in Slack from my editors that will say something along the lines of "Friday's newsletter was too long. They need to be shorter."I didn't have a choice! There's just so much opportunity available to us, and I couldn't risk wasting this chance. It's the holiday season, after all.So I hope you're well, and I hope you win a lot of money this weekend. I also hope you take the time to read these stories before you do. I mean, my CBSSports.com colleagues went through all the trouble of writing them. The least you could do is read them. . . . . .All right, let's roll up our sleeves and get to work. The Hot Ticket The Pick: Under 69 (-110): Yes, we're taking an under in the MAC. We like Ty Isaac Jersey to live dangerously in this newsletter. This game's total opened at 66 and has since been bet up to 69, which is fine with me. The total has gone up because Buffalo has one of the most potent offenses in the country. The Bulls have averaged 3.79 points per drive this season, which ranks third in the nation behind Kent State (3.98) and some team called Alabama (3.93). Of course, Buffalo has also played a shorter schedule than nearly anybody else, as it comes into tonight having only played five games. More than that, while the Bulls are a legitimately good team, their offensive numbers are inflated. In three games against Bowling Green, Kent State and Akron -- three of the country's absolute worst defenses -- the Bulls averaged 4.67 points per drive. In two games against the more respectable defenses of Northern Illinois and Miami (OH), they averaged 2.8 points per drive. Ball State is in that more respectable range defensively, so I don't anticipate the Bulls having the same kind of offensive succe s. That, combined with a Buffalo defense that's a lot more than respectable, should keep us under the total tonight.Key Trend: The under is 5-1 in Ball State's last six games as an underdog.The only thing in the world that loves MACtion more than I do is the Advanced Computer Model Ques Glover Jersey , and it . The Picks College Football The Pick: Oregon (+140) --This is a play on the situation. The Pac-12 can't help but shoot itself in the foot over and over again. While USC's Playoff chances are minimal at best, the Pac-12 wanted to make sure to lower them as much as po sible. That's why it has the Trojans playing the conference championship game on a short week after Oregon had last weekend off.Oh, and in case that's not enough, the Pac-12 also put USC in a position where it had to prepare for two teams because it was initially slated to play Washington here. That was changed to Oregon when the Huskies didn't have enough players available due to COVID and contact tracing. Oregon, meanwhile, was able to spend that extra week off preparing for USC. So, yeah, it should be a close game anyway, and when you factor all of that into it, there's a genuine chance Oregon wins the game.Key Trend: USC is 1-8 ATS in its last nine Friday games. Those short weeks!The Pick: Florida +17 (-110) --There's nothing quite as terrifying as betting Chris Culliver Jersey against Alabama right now, but it's the right play in this spot. It's worth repeating: since halftime of the game against Georgia, Alabama's defense has leveled up, and this team has gone back into Death Machine mode. It's truly the best team in the country, and I'm not sure anybody else is on the same tier right now. That said, 17.5 points is a lot of points to be laying against a potent Florida offense. If we look at Alabama this season, the only offense it faced that comes close to Florida's in terms of style and production is Ole Mi s. That Rebels offense put up 647 yards and 48 points against Alabama. Now, I don't think Florida will match those numbers, but there's too much talent on the Gators offense to think they won't find any succe s at all. Also, Dan Mullen's too good at scheming against opponents not to put up points in this spot. The question is whether or not Florida's defense gets any stops. If it can manage a few, I'm confident the Gators keep this close.Key Trend: Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog. College BasketballThe Pick: Iowa State +15 (-110) --Get on this one quickly as the line is shrinking. It opened at 17 and is down to 15. As long as it's at 14 or better as you're reading this, it's still good. I love large dogs like this in conference games, particularly against highly-ranked teams, because the general public often overvalues highly-ranked teams. Neither one of these teams is a great three-point shooting team, but while the Mountaineers are terrific defensively, if they have a weakne s this season, it's been defending the interior. That's where Iowa State's offense excels, as it's shooting 59.1% from two, ranking 18th in the country. That will likely be what keeps the Cyclones within the number.Key Trend: West Virginia is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games against teams with a losing record. NFLThe Pick: Under 51 (-115) --When we get late into the NFL season, I like to look for unders worth playing. It becomes a smarter bet, particularly in divisional matchups like this one. The Texans and Minkah Fitzpatrick Jersey Colts have not only played already, but they played just a couple of weeks ago. Indianapolis won that game 26-20, though if we look at the box score, we see the Texans offense performed a bit better. It was two Houston turnovers that decided the game. That's why I'm somewhat hesitant to take the Texans here, though if you're betting the spread, that's the side I prefer to be Carl Lawson Jersey on, particularly if it's at 7 or better. But the best value is on the total. Key Trend: The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.The Pick: Under 46 (-110) --This is a similar situation to the last pick, as two division rivals that have already played meet again. The first meeting in Chicago was a sleepy affair. The Vikings won 19-13 but weren't able to do much of anything on the ground. The Bears offense was even more pathetic than usual, managing only 149 yards in the game, averaging 3.0 yards per play.Things should be a little better for Chicago this time, as they've replaced with Mitch Trubisky (yes, it's an upgrade), and will play after being injured for the first meeting. That will improve the Bears offense, but not to a degree where I think the final result will look all that different. Both of these teams are outside the playoff picture but have a slim chance of getting in. That will cause both coaches to do what they typically do in these spots and get conservative. Nobody is going to want to be the one to make the mistake th